You are watching: How many super bowls have gone to overtime
The odds of Super bowl 54 going come overtime to be +1000 at DraftKings Sportsbook as of Sunday afternoon.Before the Chiefs and also 49ers kicked off, Evan Abrams examined the history and numbers of betting \"yes\" top top the Super bowl OT prop bet.
During Wild map weekend, 2 of the four games went to overtime. Since then, the four Divisional round games and two Conference Championship games ended in regulation.
So what are the odds us get one more overtime game in Miami? Let’s take it a look at the background of overtime and also its correlation to the playoffs and the super Bowl.
History of Overtime
Only among the previous 53 super Bowls have gone to overtime: as soon as the Patriots trailed the Falcons, 28-3, in Super bowl 51 late in the third quarter then scored 25 unanswered point out — including a game-tying touchdown and two-point counter to pressure overtime.
Tom Brady and also the Patriots won the coin toss and also drove under the field, without also facing a 3rd down. Then James White score the game-winning touchdown to complete the greatest comeback in Super key history.
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Six that the 53 supervisor Bowls have finished v a margin of three points, three finished through a margin that seven and also one finished v a margin that eight. Eight the those cumulative 10 games featured a moment at the end of the game when overtime was feasible given the margin, yet it took till the 2016 season because that it come occur.
The Patriots have actually been connected in the past 5 Super Bowls that might have gone (or walk go) come overtime: 36, 38, 39, 42 and 51.
The Odds Behind Overtime
The odds the there will certainly be overtime in Super key 54 room +1000, and -2500 that there won’t be. So if friend wagered $100 on an overtime period, you’d win $1,000 and also return $1,100 in total.
Eliminating the vig indigenous the odds itself, +1000 converts to around a 9% opportunity to cash.
With overtime only developing once in the super Bowl’s 53-year history, let’s expand this lens come the constant season and also playoffs.
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The mathematics Behind Overtime
Overtime occurring just once in 53 supervisor Bowls is great for a 1.9% rate, while the 306 times overtime has happened in the 2,560 regular-season gamings over the previous decade is great for a 12% rate.
With such a large gap in between the percentage of games to walk to overtime in the Super key vs. Regular season, the evident next great is the playoffs. The games are tighter, the groups are much better and there’s theoretically a much better chance for an extra period.
Ten of the 109 playoff gamings over the previous decade have actually gone to overtime, an excellent for a 9.2% rate — a practically 3% decrease indigenous the continuous season.
Let’s carry out a quick recap…12% that regular-season gamings go to overtime, which have to equate to around a +730 bet.9.2% playoff games go to overtime, which should equate to about a +1000 or 10-1 bet.1.9% of supervisor Bowls have gone to overtime, which need to equate to about a 50-1 long shot (+5000).
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If you mean out the continual season pct and the playoff pct (12% and also 9.2%), the 10.6% average, which would equate to around an +850 gambling is best in line v the market, i m sorry is +1000.